Quantum: From Sci-Fi to Investable Frontier

When I was studying electrical engineering, out of my curiosity, I chose to take an elective course on quantum physics as part of advanced optics. It sparked my curiosity in quantum. The strange, abstract, counterintuitive rules, for example particles existing in multiple states or being entangled across distance, captivated me.

Error correction, closely related to fault tolerance in quantum systems today, is the backbone of telecommunications, one of the areas I majored in.

Little did I know these domains would converge in such a way that my earlier academic training would become relevant again years later.

For me, computing is not just my profession, it is also my hobby. As a science nerd, I actively enjoy following advances, and I keep going deeper down the rabbit hole of the next frontier of computing. That mix of personal curiosity and professional focus shapes how I approach both the opportunities and risks in the space. Over the past few years, I have gone deeper into the world of quantum. My academic and professional background gave me the footing to evaluate both what is technically possible and what is commercially viable.

From If to How and When

In June, I wrote Quantum Isn’t Next. It’s Now. We have passed the tipping point where the question is no longer if quantum technology will work, it is how and when it will scale.

This momentum is not just visible to those of us deep in the field. As the Globe and Mail recently reported, we at Two Small Fish have been following quantum for years, but did not think it was mature enough for an early-stage fund with a 10-year lifespan to back. This year, we changed our minds. As I shared in that article: “It’s much more investible now.”

The distinction is clear: when quantum was still a science problem, the central question was whether it could work at all. Now that it has become an engineering problem, the questions are how it will work at scale and when it will be ready for commercialization.

This shift matters for investors. Venture capital focuses on engineering breakthroughs, hard, uncertain, but achievable on a commercialization timeline. Fundamental science, which can take many more years to mature, is better supported by governments, universities, and non-dilutive funding sources. I will leave that discussion for another post.

One of Five Frontiers

At Two Small Fish Ventures, we have identified five areas shaping the next frontier of computing. Quantum falls under the area of advanced computing hardware, where the convergence of different areas of science, engineering, and commercialization is accelerating.

Each of these areas is no longer a speculative science experiment but a rapidly advancing field where engineering and commercialization are converging. Within the next ten years, the winners will emerge from lab prototypes and become scaled companies. Quantum is firmly on that trajectory.

How We Invest in Quantum

Our first principle at Two Small Fish is straightforward: we only invest in things we truly understand, from all three technology, product, and commercialization lenses. That discipline forces us to dig deep before committing capital. And after years of study, it is clear to us that quantum has moved into investable territory, but only selectively.

Not every quantum startup fits a venture time horizon. Some promising projects will take too many years to scale. But we are now seeing opportunities that, within a 10-year window, can realistically grow from an early-stage idea to a successful scale-up. That is the standard we apply to every investment, and quantum finally has companies that meet it.

From Sci-Fi to Reality

Canada has played an outsized role in building the foundation of quantum science. Now, it has the chance to lead in quantum commercialization. The next few years will determine which teams turn breakthrough science into enduring companies.

For investors, this is both an opportunity and a responsibility. The quantum era is not a distant possibility, it is here now. What once sounded like science fiction is now an investable reality. And for those willing to put in the work to understand it, the frontier is already here.

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